Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd warns bitcoin could plunge 50% near-term — ‘things are very frothy’

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Guggenheim Partners’ Scott Minerd stays long-term bullish on bitcoin, however stated Wednesday the world’s largest cryptocurrency has run too far, too quick.

“Given the large transfer we have had in bitcoin over the brief run, issues are very frothy, and I feel we’ll must have a serious correction in bitcoin,” the agency’s international chief funding officer instructed CNBC’s “Worldwide Exchange.”

Bitcoin traded simply under $55,000 per token Wednesday morning, one week after setting an all-time excessive of nearly $65,000 within the run-up to crypto alternate Coinbase‘s blockbuster direct listing.

“I feel we could pull again to $20,000 to $30,000 on bitcoin, which might be a 50% decline, however the fascinating factor about bitcoin is we have seen these sorts of declines earlier than,” Minerd stated. However, he stated he thinks it is a part of “the traditional evolution in what’s a longer-term bull market,” with bitcoin costs finally reaching between $400,000 to $600,000 per unit.

Minerd turned heads late final yr when he first shared his long-range price target for bitcoin, citing its inherent shortage — solely 21 million bitcoins will ever be created — and its worth relative to property equivalent to gold. Those remarks in December fell on the identical day the digital forex eclipsed $20,000 for the first time ever.

Bitcoin has continued its large rally that started in 2020, advancing nearly 90% up to now this yr. Institutional adoption has been cited as one factor fueling its rise. Some firms like Tesla invested a portion of their money holdings in bitcoin, and monetary corporations from Mastercard to Goldman Sachs are making moves round crypto.

The tempo of bitcoin’s ascent has fearful even some crypto bulls like Minerd, who additionally warned of a short-term pullback earlier this year. Some crypto bears proceed to argue bitcoin is in a bubble that will eventually burst.

Bill Miller, the longtime worth investor who has owned bitcoin for years, instructed CNBC on Tuesday he is not involved in regards to the digital forex being in a bubble like in 2017, when it reached what was then a report excessive of almost $20,000. Bitcoin went on to fall sharply within the following months, dropping about 80% of its worth in what’s change into often known as the “crypto winter.”

“Supply [of bitcoin] is rising 2% a yr and demand is rising sooner. That’s all you really want to know, and meaning it is going larger,” Miller said in an interview on CNBC’s “The Exchange.” It will not be a straight march to the upside, although, as a result of “with bitcoin, volatility is the worth you pay for efficiency,” he added.



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Ariel Shapiro
Ariel Shapiro
Uncovering the latest of tech and business.

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